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Post by FUBeAR on Nov 21, 2016 23:05:32 GMT -5
Your FCS 1st Round Investment Guide...(SoCon Games in BOLD; Projected Winners Underlined)
St. Francis at Villanova - Saturday, November 26, 2016 2:00 PM
St. Francis +14½
Over/Under 37½
Projected Score = Wildcats win about 26-11
Weber State at Chattanooga - Saturday, November 26, 2016 2:00 PM
Weber State +15
Over/Under 51½
Projected Score = Mocs win about 33-18
Lehigh at New Hampshire - Saturday, November 26, 2016 2:00 PM
Lehigh -4½
Over/Under 63½
Projected Score = Engineers win about 34-30
Charleston Southern at Wofford - Saturday, November 26, 2016 2:00 PM
Charleston Southern +1½
Over/Under 51½
Projected Score = Terriers win about 26-25
North Carolina A&T at Richmond - Saturday, November 26, 2016 2:00 PM
North Carolina A&T +13
Over/Under 53½
Projected Score = Spiders win about 33-20
Illinois State at Central Arkansas - Saturday, November 26, 2016 3:00 PM
Illinois State +2½
Over/Under 49½
Projected Score = Bears win about 26-23
Samford at Youngstown State - Saturday, November 26, 2016 5:00 PM
Samford +8½
Over/Under 50½
Projected Score = Penguins win about 30-21
San Diego at Cal Poly - Saturday, November 26, 2016 7:00 PM
San Diego +10½
Over/Under 65½
Projected Score = Mustangs win about 38-27
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Post by FUBeAR on Nov 21, 2016 23:20:22 GMT -5
Massey Ratings - Matchup Score Predictions & Win Probabilities
St. Francis @ Villanova - 21-7 - with an 87% Win Probability for the Wildcats
Weber State @ Chattanooga - 31-19 - with an 81% Win Probability for the Mocs
Lehigh @ New Hampshire - 33-28 - with a 65% Win Probability for the Engineers
Charleston Southern @ Wofford - 26-24 - with a 53% Win Probability for the Terriers
North Carolina A&T @ Richmond - 36-24 - with a 81% Win Probability for the Spiders
Illinois State @ Central Arkansas - 23-21 - with a 54% Win Probability for the Bears
Samford @ Youngstown State - 28-20 - with a 75% Win Probability for the Penguins
San Diego @ Cal Poly - 35-29 - with a 66% Win Probability for the Mustangs
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Post by FUBeAR on Nov 24, 2016 21:26:23 GMT -5
There will be a secret meeting tomorrow, somewhere in the Metro Atlanta area, as BearDownMU, Ursus, and FUBeAR convene to complete their FCS Playoff Bracket. The results of this meeting will be the Official Entry that will be in competition with many of the best-informed and best minds in the world of FCS Football. A lot of PRIDE is on the line here!!!
Anyone have any hot tips, inside information, visions, premonitions, divinings, etc. that they would like to share?
Or...just your thoughts on the Bracket...like to see those as well!
We will be completing and submitting the entire bracket tomorrow - from Round 1 on Saturday thru to the Championship Game in Frisco, TX on 1/7/17. So, for example, if you know that Weber State's Defensive Coordinator was at Sam Houston State last year, stole their Playbook/Signs, and you have them meeting later in the tourney, THAT is info we can use!
THANKS!
FUBeAR
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Post by BearDownMU on Nov 25, 2016 21:57:47 GMT -5
Double Secret meeting was a success. We engaged WOPR (the super computer from War Games), FUBeAR's analytical skills, Ursus' practical and recent college football player opinion, and came up with a bracket we feel pretty good about.
My contribution was writing stuff down. We'll see tomorrow if all that brain power came through for us.
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Post by mumd on Nov 26, 2016 19:14:40 GMT -5
Looks like the SoCon teams are pretty much following the line. 3 teams in the second round should validate the decision to put four SoCon teams in the playoffs. I just wish Woffy and El Cid could put off a showdown for another week or so.
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Post by FUBeAR on Nov 27, 2016 0:19:17 GMT -5
Your FCS 1st Round Investment Guide...(SoCon Games in BOLD; Projected Winners Underlined) St. Francis at Villanova - Saturday, November 26, 2016 2:00 PM St. Francis +14½ Over/Under 37½ Projected Score = Wildcats win about 26-11 ACTUAL SCORE = WILDCATS WON 31-21Weber State at Chattanooga - Saturday, November 26, 2016 2:00 PM
Weber State +15
Over/Under 51½
Projected Score = Mocs win about 33-18
ACTUAL SCORE = MOCS WON 45-14Lehigh at New Hampshire - Saturday, November 26, 2016 2:00 PM Lehigh -4½ Over/Under 63½ Projected Score = Engineers win about 34-30 ACTUAL SCORE = WILDCATS WON 64-21Charleston Southern at Wofford - Saturday, November 26, 2016 2:00 PM
Charleston Southern +1½
Over/Under 51½
Projected Score = Terriers win about 26-25
ACTUAL SCORE = TERRIERS WON 15-14North Carolina A&T at Richmond - Saturday, November 26, 2016 2:00 PM North Carolina A&T +13 Over/Under 53½ Projected Score = Spiders win about 33-20 ACTUAL SCORE = SPIDERS WON 39-10Illinois State at Central Arkansas - Saturday, November 26, 2016 3:00 PM Illinois State +2½ Over/Under 49½ Projected Score = Bears win about 26-23 ACTUAL SCORE = BEARS WON 31-24Samford at Youngstown State - Saturday, November 26, 2016 5:00 PM
Samford +8½
Over/Under 50½
Projected Score = Penguins win about 30-21
ACTUAL SCORE = PENGUINS WON 38-24San Diego at Cal Poly - Saturday, November 26, 2016 7:00 PM San Diego +10½ Over/Under 65½ Projected Score = Mustangs win about 38-27 ACTUAL SCORE = TOREROS WON 35-21 |
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Post by mumd on Nov 27, 2016 4:55:36 GMT -5
Wow the PFL won a playoff game! That's huge for them. Congrats.
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Post by FUBeAR on Nov 27, 2016 12:28:59 GMT -5
Wow the PFL won a playoff game! That's huge for them. Congrats. Yep - it was a fun game to watch. Muddy field and the players all caked in dirt. Cal-Poly - the 4th Place Team in the Big Sky, er, I mean Big Lie Conference - had a Defense that couldn't stop a stiff breeze. In fact, it looked as if SD was often running reps 'on air' against them. Yes - this is the same Cal-Poly Team that beat the MVFC Champion, South Dakota State...who beat North Dakota State. And the 3rd place Big Lie Team with a 6-2 Conference record was Weber State - the Team that Chatty, the 3rd Place SoCon Team, stomped a mud hole in yesterday. And the other 2 Teams from the Big Lie Conference are the #2 Seed and the #7 Seed...coming from a conference that apparently is quite an assortment of cupcakes. The CAA had a decent day, going 3-0, but, of course, the Committee took care of them, by matching them up with Teams from the MEAC, the NEC, and the Patriot League. I'm telling anyone that will listen, the SoCon should have had 5 Teams in the Playoffs and, 2 of them, at least, should have been seeded! Instead, only 1 Team was seeded and the Top 2 Teams (by record) in the SoCon will now play each other in Round 2. There's only 1 other match-up of Conference opponents in Round 2 - Richmond and New Hampshire. Richmond lost to William & Mary (who lost to former SoCon whipping boy, Elon) to finish their regular season and New Hampshire lost to Dartmouth, whose conference record was 1-6 as they finished in last place in the Ivy League. Even though the SoCon DID get 4 (well-deserving) Teams in this year, the Committee still found a way to 'take care of' their 'darling' MVFC, CAA, and Big Lie Conferences with their seedings and match-ups, while hosing the SoCon. |
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Post by jackal on Nov 27, 2016 15:19:10 GMT -5
Wow the PFL won a playoff game! That's huge for them. Congrats. Yep - it was a fun game to watch. Muddy field and the players all caked in dirt. Cal-Poly - the 4th Place Team in the Big Sky, er, I mean Big Lie Conference - had a Defense that couldn't stop a stiff breeze. In fact, it looked as if SD was often running reps 'on air' against them. Yes - this is the same Cal-Poly Team that beat the MVFC Champion, South Dakota State...who beat North Dakota State. And the 3rd place Big Lie Team with a 6-2 Conference record was Weber State - the Team that Chatty, the 3rd Place SoCon Team, stomped a mud hole in yesterday. And the other 2 Teams from the Big Lie Conference are the #2 Seed and the #7 Seed...coming from a conference that apparently is quite an assortment of cupcakes. The CAA had a decent day, going 3-0, but, of course, the Committee took care of them, by matching them up with Teams from the MEAC, the NEC, and the Patriot League. I'm telling anyone that will listen, the SoCon should have had 5 Teams in the Playoffs and, 2 of them, at least, should have been seeded!Instead, only 1 Team was seeded and the Top 2 Teams (by record) in the SoCon will now play each other in Round 2. There's only 1 other match-up of Conference opponents in Round 2 - Richmond and New Hampshire. Richmond lost to William & Mary (who lost to former SoCon whipping boy, Elon) to finish their regular season and New Hampshire lost to Dartmouth, whose conference record was 1-6 as they finished in last place in the Ivy League. Even though the SoCon DID get 4 (well-deserving) Teams in this year, the Committee still found a way to 'take care of' their 'darling' MVFC, CAA, and Big Lie Conferences with their seedings and match-ups, while hosing the SoCon. Honest question, but what is your argument for Mercer to get in? Their 6 wins came over teams with a combined 18-48 record. Mercer did not beat a single team with a winning record this season. Other than just opinion that Mercer is a stronger team than some other conference's playoff team, what did they do to earn a post season ticket? I think it'd be great for the SoCon to get 5 teams in, but I'm actually surprised they managed 4 after Samford wet the bed against ETSU. |
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Post by FUBeAR on Nov 27, 2016 17:26:40 GMT -5
Yep - it was a fun game to watch. Muddy field and the players all caked in dirt. Cal-Poly - the 4th Place Team in the Big Sky, er, I mean Big Lie Conference - had a Defense that couldn't stop a stiff breeze. In fact, it looked as if SD was often running reps 'on air' against them. Yes - this is the same Cal-Poly Team that beat the MVFC Champion, South Dakota State...who beat North Dakota State. And the 3rd place Big Lie Team with a 6-2 Conference record was Weber State - the Team that Chatty, the 3rd Place SoCon Team, stomped a mud hole in yesterday. And the other 2 Teams from the Big Lie Conference are the #2 Seed and the #7 Seed...coming from a conference that apparently is quite an assortment of cupcakes. The CAA had a decent day, going 3-0, but, of course, the Committee took care of them, by matching them up with Teams from the MEAC, the NEC, and the Patriot League. I'm telling anyone that will listen, the SoCon should have had 5 Teams in the Playoffs and, 2 of them, at least, should have been seeded!Instead, only 1 Team was seeded and the Top 2 Teams (by record) in the SoCon will now play each other in Round 2. There's only 1 other match-up of Conference opponents in Round 2 - Richmond and New Hampshire. Richmond lost to William & Mary (who lost to former SoCon whipping boy, Elon) to finish their regular season and New Hampshire lost to Dartmouth, whose conference record was 1-6 as they finished in last place in the Ivy League. Even though the SoCon DID get 4 (well-deserving) Teams in this year, the Committee still found a way to 'take care of' their 'darling' MVFC, CAA, and Big Lie Conferences with their seedings and match-ups, while hosing the SoCon. Honest question, but what is your argument for Mercer to get in? Because |
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Post by jackal on Nov 27, 2016 19:45:02 GMT -5
Honest question, but what is your argument for Mercer to get in? Because Fair enough. That's about the only argument I could come up with. |
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Post by bear fan on Nov 27, 2016 22:09:38 GMT -5
I agree with jackal,if we want be the TEAM we have to beat the TEAMS( with winning records).
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Post by FUBeAR on Nov 28, 2016 23:40:06 GMT -5
Double Secret meeting was a success. We engaged WOPR (the super computer from War Games), FUBeAR's analytical skills, Ursus' practical and recent college football player opinion, and came up with a bracket we feel pretty good about. My contribution was writing stuff down. We'll see tomorrow if all that brain power came through for us.
2016 Bracket Challenge Standings (1st Round)
1 BearDownMU 92.72 Scrappy94 92.5 3 OhioHen 91.4 4 UIWWildthing 90.9 5 Gangtackle11 89.1 6 Nickels 83.2 7 MTfan4life 82.3 8 Sioux24/7 81.9 9 Milktruck74 81.8 10 Bison Fan In NW MN 81.2 11 Catatonic 80.9 12 ElCid 80.3 13 Rjones61 79.9 14 Massey 79.4 15 Katfan 79 16 4grz 78.4 17 BisonTru 78 18 Thunderstruck 77.3 19 melloware13 76.7 20 Evolution Prime 76.6 21 SDFS 76.3 22 bjtheflamesfan 76 23 MarkyMark 76 23 WrenFGun 76 25 Milkman 75.8 26 McNeese75 75.6 26 The Kicker 75.6 28 bisoninloveland 75.5 29 Spider from the North 74.4 30 CommishBigSmooth 74.2 30 paward 74.2 32 caribbeanhen 69.9 33 TheValleyRaider 69 34 jacoj21 68.4 35 CappinHard 68.2 36 UpstateBison 67.9 37 BigHouseClosedEnd 67.9 37 grizband 67.9 39 BisonFan02 67.8 40 footballer23 67.7 41 Hambone 67.6 42 FlamingHot 67.3 42 Jacks02 67.3 44 Daytripper 67.2 45 JMUNJ08 67.1 46 PantherRob82 67 47 knucklehead 66.6 48 The Yo Show 66.5 49 jmufan999 65.9 50 ngineer 65.8 50 TheRevSFA 65.8 52 F'N Hawks 65.8 52 ming01 65.8 54 CockyGeek 65.5 54 ST_Lawson 65.5 56 HailSzczur 65.4 57 Go Lehigh TU owl 65.3 58 Griz23 65.3 58 WileECoyote06 65.3 60 Bisonator 65.2 60 GreatDayToBeAnEagle 65.2 62 hktribefan 65 63 TheKingpin28 64.9 64 MR. CHICKEN 64.8 65 citdog 64.5 65 dgtw 64.5 67 Prime Power 64.4 68 Bison56 64.3 69 clawman 64 70 Vermont 63.3 71 Penguin Nation 63 72 SportsLover 62.8 73 cpacmel 62.1 74 DA BEAR 61.9 75 MacThor 61.6 76 DCWIU11 61 77 JSUSoutherner 55.9 78 FCSbuff319 55.4 79 Rollbird5 55.2 80 Bear84 55 81 Lehigh'98 54.1 82 flyrod 54.1 83 Professor Chaos 53.9 84 Redbird007 53.7 85 kdinva 53.7 85 Loyl2u 53.7 87 DirtyDukes 53.6 88 LehighU11 53.5 89 reeder 53.4 90 Preferred Walk-On 53.3 90 RedFlash 53.3 92 Schism55 53.1 93 mamberso 52.9 94 Bison87 52.9 94 Mattymc727 52.9 96 JMU2K_DukeDawg 52.9 97 centennial 52.7 97 northdakota247 52.7 99 THE DANIMAL 52.6 100 Lehigh Football Nation 52.4 101 MSUDuo 52.2 101 X-Factor 52.2 103 Drblankstare 52 104 NDSUFREAK 51.9 105 RDN88 51.6 106 SUPharmacist 51.5 107 jmudukes 51.4 107 NDSUtk 51.4 109 NDSU Fan 51.3 110 taper 51.1 111 PurpleStreamers 51 112 REALBird 50.8 113 GsephBison 50.6 114 Mayville Bison 50.5 115 RabidRabbit 48.7 116 stevdock 48.2 117 Bluefish845 41.1 118 Pitz 40.8 119 POD Knows 39.8 120 70MilesFromCanada 39.7 121 Catbooster 39.5 122 tomq04 38.6 123 Thumper 76 38.1 124 swaghook 37.8 125 kalm 37 BearDownMU is not only the leader, but also the only person to have a perfect score in a given game for the first round. |
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Post by BearDownMU on Nov 29, 2016 0:26:55 GMT -5
Long way to go, but, I gotta admit. It feels good.
And, as I said, BearDownMU, in this case, is me, FUBeAR and Ursus.
There's no "I" in TEAM!
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Post by FUBeAR on Nov 29, 2016 1:25:02 GMT -5
Long way to go, but, I gotta admit. It feels good. And, as I said, BearDownMU, in this case, is me, FUBeAR and Ursus. There's no "I" in TEAM! Ain't no "We" either... I miss Leon. |
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